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Itumbiara vs Aparecida EC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2022
Itumbiara Logo

Itumbiara

1 - 2
FT
Aparecida EC Logo

Aparecida EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aparecida EC in this Goiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aparecida EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Itumbiara
15%
Draws
49%
Aparecida EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aparecida EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aparecida EC lately — more wins on the board than Itumbiara.
  • Model gives Aparecida EC a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 10%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itumbiara Aparecida EC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Goiano 3
Itumbiara vs Aparecida EC
1:4
Oct 12, 2024 Goiano 3
Aparecida EC vs Itumbiara
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Goiano 3
Itumbiara vs Aparecida EC
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Goiano 3
Aparecida EC vs Itumbiara
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 Goiano 3
Itumbiara vs Aparecida EC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itumbiara 10 / 100
Aparecida EC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itumbiara Aparecida EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aparecida EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Itumbiara scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Aparecida EC has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Aparecida EC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itumbiara VS Aparecida EC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
4.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Itumbiara

(Home)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
02 Nov
Itumbiara
0 : 8
Bom Jesus
24 Oct
ABD FC
7 : 0
Itumbiara
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
Page 1 of 6

Aparecida EC

(Away)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inhumas 14 8 3 3 17:7 27
2 Goiania 14 8 1 5 14:11 25
3 Anapolina 14 6 6 2 16:10 24
4 Aparecida EC 14 5 4 5 16:20 19
5 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 14 5 2 7 23:21 17
6 Jaragua 14 4 4 6 10:12 16
7 Itumbiara 14 4 4 6 17:22 16
8 Cerrado EC 14 2 4 8 9:19 10
Promotion - Goiano 2023 (Main)