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Itumbiara vs Sao Luis

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2025
Itumbiara Logo

Itumbiara

1 - 3
FT
Sao Luis Logo

Sao Luis

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Luis in this Goiano 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Itumbiara
15%
Draws
65%
Sao Luis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Sao Luis have won more games recently than Itumbiara.
  • Model gives Sao Luis a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itumbiara Sao Luis
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 3.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Goiano 3
Itumbiara vs Sao Luis
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itumbiara 10 / 100
Sao Luis 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itumbiara Sao Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Itumbiara scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sao Luis conceded in 54% of 24 recent games.

Itumbiara went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itumbiara VS Sao Luis
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
6.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itumbiara

(Home)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
02 Nov
Itumbiara
0 : 8
Bom Jesus
24 Oct
ABD FC
7 : 0
Itumbiara
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
Page 1 of 6

Sao Luis

(Away)
19 Sept
Tupy FC
0 : 1
Sao Luis
13 Sept
Sao Luis
2 : 0
Mineiros
09 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 1
Sao Luis
06 Sept
Bom Jesus
2 : 1
Sao Luis
29 Aug
Sao Luis
2 : 1
Gremio Anapolis
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bom Jesus 11 9 2 0 33:5 29
2 Mineiros 11 9 0 2 23:6 27
3 Sao Luis 11 7 4 0 17:3 25
4 ABD FC 11 7 2 2 31:4 23
5 America GO 11 6 3 2 17:9 21
6 Guanabara City 11 6 1 4 22:13 19
7 Santa Helena 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
8 Aparecida EC 11 2 3 6 11:12 9
9 Pires do Rio 11 2 3 6 15:22 9
10 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 11 2 1 8 10:34 7
11 Rioverdense 11 1 0 10 7:40 3
12 Itumbiara 11 1 0 10 9:46 3
Promotion - Goiano 2 (Main)