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Ivinhema vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Ivinhema and Clube de Regatas Aquidauana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ivinhema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ivinhema
28%
Draws
50%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ivinhema carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Clube de Regatas Aquidauana a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 10%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivinhema Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.88 3
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivinhema 22 / 100
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivinhema Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivinhema's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

Ivinhema has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ivinhema VS Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1.88 Goals Scored 3
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivinhema

(Home)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
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Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

(Away)
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
15 Feb
Ivinhema
1 : 0
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
11 Feb
Aguia Negra
1 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
07 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1 : 1
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense953113:918
2Operario MS945014:517
3Corumbaense934210:713
4Ivinhema933310:1112
5Bataguassu933315:1712
6Dourados924315:1410
7Clube de Regatas Aquidauana924312:1310
8Pantanal923410:159
9Costa Rica91536:108
10Aguia Negra91449:137
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)