Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iztapa vs Comunicaciones

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Azurdia S.
31'
Sub
Russell M. In: Salazar J.
Out: Russell M.
38'
Mira E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Iztapa and Comunicaciones finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comunicaciones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Iztapa
20%
Draws
16%
Comunicaciones
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iztapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Comunicaciones carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Comunicaciones are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Comunicaciones have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 21%
Comunicaciones Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Comunicaciones
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Comunicaciones
1:5
Feb 22, 2023 Liga Nacional
Comunicaciones vs Iztapa
4:2
Nov 17, 2022 Liga Nacional
Comunicaciones vs Iztapa
2:0
Sep 4, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Comunicaciones
0:2
Apr 13, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Comunicaciones
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Comunicaciones Compare

Top Goalscorer Santis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corena J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 29 / 100
Comunicaciones 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Comunicaciones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comunicaciones Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Iztapa scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Comunicaciones conceded in 72% of 39 recent games.

Comunicaciones lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Comunicaciones
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iztapa

(Home)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Comunicaciones

(Away)
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1
Municipal
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)