Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iztapa vs Petapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Klug J.
30' Event
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2018/2019 game between Iztapa and Petapa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iztapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Iztapa
15%
Draws
0%
Petapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iztapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iztapa come out ahead of Petapa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Iztapa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Iztapa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 17%
Petapa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Petapa
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.49 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2019 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Iztapa
1:2
Feb 2, 2019 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Petapa
2:0
Nov 10, 2018 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Petapa
3:1
Sep 15, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Iztapa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Klug J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Petapa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 57 / 100
Petapa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Petapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iztapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Petapa conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Petapa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Iztapa's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Iztapa VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iztapa

(Home)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 8

Petapa

(Away)
05 May
Petapa
0 : 3
Siquinala
02 May
Comunicaciones
5 : 0
Petapa
27 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Malacateco
24 Apr
Sanarate
4 : 1
Petapa
19 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Deportivo Chiantla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 22 12 5 5 36:20 41
2 Coban Imperial 22 12 4 6 35:25 40
3 Comunicaciones 22 11 6 5 32:14 39
4 Municipal 22 10 6 6 37:22 36
5 Malacateco 22 10 6 6 24:20 36
6 Guastatoya 22 9 8 5 27:16 35
7 Deportivo Chiantla 22 8 6 8 21:25 30
8 Xelaju 22 8 5 9 27:25 29
9 Siquinala 22 7 5 10 23:25 26
10 Iztapa 22 7 4 11 21:28 25
11 Sanarate 22 7 2 13 22:38 23
12 Petapa 22 2 1 19 12:59 7
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)