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Jacarei FC vs Flamengo SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2022 game between Jacarei FC and Flamengo SP finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Jacarei FC
22%
Draws
60%
Flamengo SP
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Flamengo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo SP come out ahead of Jacarei FC on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Flamengo SP taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 20%
Flamengo SP Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacarei FC Flamengo SP
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.2 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.4 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.40 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Flamengo SP
2:2
Apr 29, 2023 Paulista A4
Flamengo SP vs Jacarei FC
3:0
Jul 23, 2022 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Flamengo SP
1:2
Jul 17, 2022 Paulista A4
Flamengo SP vs Jacarei FC
2:0
Jun 18, 2022 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Flamengo SP
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacarei FC 20 / 100
Flamengo SP 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacarei FC Flamengo SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Jacarei FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jacarei FC scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Flamengo SP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jacarei FC VS Flamengo SP
0.2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.4 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacarei FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Caetano
1 : 0
Jacarei FC
11 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
Vocem
0 : 1
Jacarei FC
25 Mar
Jacarei FC
0 : 1
Sao-Carlense
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Flamengo SP

(Away)
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
28 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 0
Flamengo SP
20 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao-Carlense651012:416
2Penapolense622213:98
3Paulista61234:65
4Manthiqueira61145:154
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Prudente642012:414
2XV de Jau64029:712
3Maua FC61234:85
4Rio Branco SP61056:123
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP65109:216
2Inter de Bebedouro62227:58
3Jacarei FC61234:85
4Taquaritinga61143:84
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapirense64118:513
2AA Itarare623110:89
3Catanduva FC614113:117
4SKA Brasil60248:152
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)