Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Radonic A.
56' Event
Medic F.

AI Match Summary

Jadran Luka Ploce in this Druga NL 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jadran Luka Ploce
15%
Draws
0%
Belisce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jadran Luka Ploce lately — more wins on the board than Belisce.
  • Win probability leans Jadran Luka Ploce's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jadran Luka Ploce have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 20%
Belisce Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce Belisce
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 2
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.84 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce
2:0
Sep 30, 2023 Druga NL
Belisce vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:3
Sep 27, 2023 Croatian Cup
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce
2:1
Feb 25, 2023 Druga NL
Belisce vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:2
Aug 20, 2022 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Top Goalscorer Radonic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Belisce Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 85 / 100
Belisce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce Belisce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Luka Ploce's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Belisce conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Belisce lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
29 Aug
Hrvace
1 : 4
Jadran Luka Ploce
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Belisce

(Away)
09 Sept
Karlovac
5 : 0
Belisce
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0
Belisce
01 Jun
Dugo Selo
5 : 2
Belisce
25 May
Belisce
1 : 6
Kustosija
18 May
Jadran Porec
3 : 0
Belisce
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Opatija 30 20 4 6 48:21 64
2 Kustosija 30 18 7 5 61:25 61
3 Mladost Zdralovi 30 18 6 6 55:23 60
4 Radnik Krizevci 30 18 4 8 51:30 58
5 Karlovac 30 17 5 8 43:33 56
6 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 12 11 7 42:28 47
7 Marsonia 30 12 4 14 52:55 40
8 Bjelovar 30 11 6 13 49:52 39
9 Dugo Selo 30 9 10 11 39:37 37
10 Dragovoljac 30 10 6 14 37:46 36
11 Hrvace 30 11 3 16 46:60 36
12 Grobnican 30 8 11 11 45:42 35
13 Trnje 30 10 3 17 30:49 33
14 Jadran Porec 30 6 10 14 36:58 28
15 Krk 30 5 9 16 26:46 24
16 Belisce 30 2 7 21 21:76 13
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Relegation)