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Jaen vs Malaga Juniors

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Adri P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Jaen in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jaen
20%
Draws
34%
Malaga Juniors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaen lately — more wins on the board than Malaga Juniors.
  • Jaen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jaen have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen Malaga Juniors
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 21 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.62 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Malaga Juniors
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Jaen
0:1
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Jaen
2:3
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Malaga Juniors
4:0
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Malaga Juniors
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 50 / 100
Malaga Juniors 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen Malaga Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Malaga Juniors conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Jaen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS Malaga Juniors
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
Page 1 of 7

Malaga Juniors

(Away)
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
11 May
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2
Malaga Juniors
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
Jaen
1 : 0
Malaga Juniors
27 Apr
Malaga Juniors
4 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)