Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagiellonia II vs Widzew Lodz II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ratajczyk A.
27' Event
Madej L.
28' Event
Rallis D.

AI Match Summary

Widzew Lodz II in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Widzew Lodz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jagiellonia II
44%
Draws
20%
Widzew Lodz II
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Widzew Lodz II have won more games recently than Jagiellonia II.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%
Widzew Lodz II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia II Widzew Lodz II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Widzew Lodz II
1:4
Oct 5, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Widzew Lodz II vs Jagiellonia II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rallis D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Widzew Lodz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Busz I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ratajczyk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia II 34 / 100
Widzew Lodz II 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia II Widzew Lodz II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WID Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Jagiellonia II scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Widzew Lodz II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Jagiellonia II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia II VS Widzew Lodz II
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia II

(Home)
11 Jul
KTS Weszlo
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
13 May
MKS Mlawa
0 : 1
Jagiellonia II
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Widzew Lodz II

(Away)
15 Jul
Wisloka Debica
2 : 5
Widzew Lodz II
11 Jul
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 4
Ostrava B
30 May
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 1
Zabkovia Zabki
21 May
Legia II
0 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
17 May
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
MKS Mlawa
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)