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Jagiellonia U19 vs Lechia Gdansk U19

Poland Poland

Central Youth League
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AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia U19 play Lechia Gdansk U19 in the Central Youth League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jagiellonia U19 averaged 2.07 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Lechia Gdansk U19 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Jagiellonia U19 won 2, Lechia Gdansk U19 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Jagiellonia U19 and 1.75 for Lechia Gdansk U19. This points to a Jagiellonia U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Jagiellonia U19
15%
Draws
33%
Lechia Gdansk U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jagiellonia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Jagiellonia U19 picked up more points recently compared to Lechia Gdansk U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Jagiellonia U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Lechia Gdansk U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia U19 Lechia Gdansk U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 2.07 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Central Youth League
Lechia Gdansk U19 vs Jagiellonia U19
3:3
Oct 30, 2025 Central Youth League
Jagiellonia U19 vs Lechia Gdansk U19
4:1
Mar 1, 2025 Central Youth League
Jagiellonia U19 vs Lechia Gdansk U19
1:3
Aug 24, 2024 Central Youth League
Lechia Gdansk U19 vs Jagiellonia U19
0:1
Apr 22, 2023 Central Youth League
Jagiellonia U19 vs Lechia Gdansk U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosmalski J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pakiela P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Lechia Gdansk U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pieczka B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia U19 49 / 100
Lechia Gdansk U19 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia U19 Lechia Gdansk U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jagiellonia U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jagiellonia U19 attacking → ← attacking Lechia Gdansk U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia U19 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Lechia Gdansk U19 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Jagiellonia U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lechia Gdansk U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 25
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25