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Jagodina vs Brzi Brod

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Srpska Liga - East matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Jagodina
30%
Draws
38%
Brzi Brod
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brzi Brod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Brzi Brod have won more games recently than Jagodina.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 10%
Brzi Brod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagodina Brzi Brod
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 22
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 3 2.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Brzi Brod
3:3
Mar 22, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Brzi Brod vs Jagodina
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Brzi Brod
1:1
May 3, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Brzi Brod
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Brzi Brod vs Jagodina
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagodina 34 / 100
Brzi Brod 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagodina Brzi Brod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brzi Brod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jagodina stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Jagodina scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Brzi Brod conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jagodina VS Brzi Brod
3.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagodina

(Home)
19 Sept
Pcinja
1 : 1
Jagodina
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Jagodina
2 : 2
Morava Cuprija
23 Aug
Radnicki Svilajnac
0 : 2
Jagodina
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Brzi Brod

(Away)
21 Sept
Timocanin
0 : 1
Brzi Brod
13 Sept
Malosiste
3 : 5
Brzi Brod
06 Sept
Brzi Brod
2 : 2
Trayal Krusevac
29 Aug
Sloga Leskovac
0 : 5
Brzi Brod
23 Aug
Brzi Brod
1 : 0
Vlasina
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