Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaguares De Chiapas vs Los Cabos United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaguares De Chiapas host Los Cabos United in the Primera Premier. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Jaguares De Chiapas at 1.38 goals for, 1.45 against; Los Cabos United at 1 for, 1.66 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.13, favoring Jaguares De Chiapas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Jaguares De Chiapas
30%
Draws
8%
Los Cabos United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jaguares De Chiapas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaguares De Chiapas come out ahead of Los Cabos United on wins alone.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Jaguares De Chiapas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jaguares De Chiapas Clean Sheet 20%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguares De Chiapas Los Cabos United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguares De Chiapas 85 / 100
Los Cabos United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguares De Chiapas Los Cabos United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaguares De Chiapas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguares De Chiapas scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Los Cabos United conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Jaguares De Chiapas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Los Cabos United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaguares De Chiapas VS Los Cabos United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguares De Chiapas

(Home)
08 Nov
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 1
Purepechas
31 Oct
Cordobes FC
3 : 2
Jaguares De Chiapas
25 Oct
Jaguares De Chiapas
3 : 2
Reboceros de La Piedad
17 Oct
Pioneros
0 : 0
Jaguares De Chiapas
11 Oct
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
Page 1 of 6

Los Cabos United

(Away)
08 Nov
Montaneses
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
01 Nov
Los Cabos United
1 : 4
Celaya
24 Oct
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 0
Los Cabos United
10 Oct
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
05 Oct
Los Cabos United
0 : 2
Cordobes FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Cordobes FC 10 3 2 5 9:14 10
7 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 10 3 4 3 13:17 13
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)