Sport Picks
Jaguares De Chiapas vs Neza FC
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna, Tuxtla Gutiérrez 
Match Events
25'
25'
Vergara H.
28'
28'
39'
39'
Tecpanecatl A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Premier Serie A game between Jaguares De Chiapas and Neza FC finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaguares De Chiapas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jaguares De Chiapas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jaguares De Chiapas come out ahead of Neza FC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Jaguares De Chiapas's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jaguares De Chiapas Clean Sheet 16%
Neza FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaguares De Chiapas | Neza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 3.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 3.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Jaguares De Chiapas vs Neza FC
6:1
Oct 12, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Neza FC vs Jaguares De Chiapas
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jaguares De Chiapas Compare
Top Goalscorer Vergara H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tecpanecatl A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Neza FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaguares De Chiapas 84 / 100
Neza FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaguares De Chiapas Neza FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Neza FC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Neza FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Jaguares De Chiapas scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jaguares De Chiapas VS Neza FC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 3.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaguares De Chiapas
(Home) 12 Apr
Celaya
1 : 1 Jaguares De Chiapas
29 Mar
Jaguares De Chiapas
0 : 0 Chapulineros
22 Mar
Racing de Veracruz
2 : 0 Jaguares De Chiapas
15 Mar
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 3 Tapachula
07 Mar
Deportiva Venados
4 : 1 Jaguares De Chiapas
Page 1 of 6
29 Mar
Jaguares De Chiapas
0 : 0 Chapulineros
15 Mar
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 3 Tapachula
01 Mar
Jaguares De Chiapas
6 : 1 Neza FC
15 Feb
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 0 Canoneros FC
25 Jan
Jaguares De Chiapas
3 : 4 Montaneses
Page 1 of 3
Neza FC
(Away) 11 Apr
Deportiva Venados
7 : 1 Neza FC
05 Apr
Neza FC
0 : 6 Heroes de Zaci
22 Mar
Neza FC
1 : 4 Dragones Toluca
14 Mar
Canoneros FC
3 : 2 Neza FC
08 Mar
Neza FC
0 : 3 Pioneros
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Deportiva Venados
7 : 1 Neza FC
14 Mar
Canoneros FC
3 : 2 Neza FC
01 Mar
Jaguares De Chiapas
6 : 1 Neza FC
14 Feb
Inter Playa Del Carmen
4 : 0 Neza FC
01 Feb
Celaya
6 : 0 Neza FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
