Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaguares de Cordoba vs Santa Fe

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria, Monteria
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Renteria A.
43'
Castano M.
46'
Sub
Murillo E. In: Zapata A.
Out: Murillo E.

AI Match Summary

Jaguares de Cordoba in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaguares de Cordoba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jaguares de Cordoba
30%
Draws
34%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jaguares de Cordoba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaguares de Cordoba haven't matched Santa Fe's recent run of results.
  • Jaguares de Cordoba are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguares de Cordoba Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.57 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Santa Fe
3:1
Nov 15, 2024 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Cordoba
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Santa Fe
1:0
Jul 20, 2023 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Cordoba
1:0
Jan 27, 2023 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Santa Fe
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaguares de Cordoba Compare

Top Goalscorer Renteria A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maza J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguares de Cordoba 36 / 100
Santa Fe 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguares de Cordoba Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Fe conceded in 84% of 25 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Jaguares de Cordoba scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Jaguares de Cordoba remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaguares de Cordoba VS Santa Fe
0.57 Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguares de Cordoba

(Home)
25 Jul
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
26 May
Dep. Pereira
1 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
21 May
Jaguares de Cordoba
3 : 0
Ind. Yumbo
10 May
Aguilas Doradas
0 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
07 May
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 6

Santa Fe

(Away)
26 Jul
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 1
Santa Fe
24 Jul
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Caracas
28 May
Penarol
0 : 1
Santa Fe
24 May
Junior
1 : 0
Santa Fe
20 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Platense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)