Sport Picks
Jaiba Brava vs Tlaxcala
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero 
Match Events
20'
20'
Martinez J.
46'
46'
Sub
Clemente J. In: Saldivar J.
Out: Clemente J.
46'
46'
Sub
Castillo E. In: Hernandez E.
Out: Castillo E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tlaxcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Jaiba Brava have won more games recently than Tlaxcala.
- Model gives Tlaxcala a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 13%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaiba Brava | Tlaxcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Jaiba Brava
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Tlaxcala
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Jaiba Brava
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Jaiba Brava
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Tlaxcala
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaiba Brava 27 / 100
Tlaxcala 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaiba Brava Tlaxcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tlaxcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaiba Brava's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Tlaxcala has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Jaiba Brava has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Jaiba Brava VS Tlaxcala
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaiba Brava
(Home) 20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
23 Aug
Jaiba Brava
2 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
23 Aug
Jaiba Brava
2 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
09 Aug
Jaiba Brava
3 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Jul
Jaiba Brava
0 : 0 Piratas
Page 1 of 4
Tlaxcala
(Away) 12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2 Tlaxcala
16 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2 Tlaxcala
16 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
01 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 1 Tlaxcala
01 Jul
Puebla
3 : 1 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
