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Stadium Background

Jamaica W vs Antigua and Barbuda W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women Independence Park (National)
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Shaw K.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Shaw K.
Assist: van Zanten K.
55' Event
Shaw K.
Assist: van Zanten K.

AI Match Summary

Jamaica W in this CONCACAF Championship Women matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jamaica W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jamaica W
6%
Draws
4%
Antigua and Barbuda W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jamaica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jamaica W lately — more wins on the board than Antigua and Barbuda W.
  • Model gives Jamaica W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Jamaica W Clean Sheet 10%
Antigua and Barbuda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamaica W Antigua and Barbuda W
Matches Played 44 32
Wins 23 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 3.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 CONCACAF Championship Women
Jamaica W vs Antigua and Barbuda W
4:0
Aug 25, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women
Jamaica W vs Antigua and Barbuda W
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamaica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Antigua and Barbuda W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamaica W 83 / 100
Antigua and Barbuda W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamaica W Antigua and Barbuda W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Jamaica W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Jamaica W scored in 70% of their last 44 outings.

Antigua and Barbuda W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jamaica W VS Antigua and Barbuda W
3.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico W440036:012
2Puerto Rico W430126:69
3Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W42022:246
4United States Virgin Islands W41033:203
5Saint Lucia W40041:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamaica W440027:212
2Nicaragua W430123:49
3Guyana W42028:56
4Antigua and Barbuda W40131:131
5Dominica W40131:361
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica W440034:112
2Guatemala W430123:49
3Bermuda W420210:156
4Grenada W41037:143
5Cayman Islands W40041:410
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti W431017:110
2Dominican Republic W422017:48
3Belize W42025:156
4Suriname W41125:74
5Anguilla W40041:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama W440015:212
2Cuba W42116:57
3Aruba W42029:66
4Curacao W41034:163
5Saint Kitts and Nevis W40134:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador W330018:09
2Trinidad & Tobago W31117:44
3Honduras W31116:54
4Barbados W30030:220