Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U17 W vs Zambia U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2025 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 3), Salé
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Njobvu B. In: Kasema N.
Out: Njobvu B.
46'
Sub
Nakamura K. In: Takahashi Y.
Out: Nakamura K.
46'
Sub
Sato I. In: Sato M.
Out: Sato I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Japan U17 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Japan U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
Zambia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Japan U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan U17 W come out ahead of Zambia U17 W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Japan U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Japan U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Zambia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 W Zambia U17 W
Matches Played 33 10
Wins 21 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Japan U17 W vs Zambia U17 W
2:0
Oct 23, 2024 World Cup Women U17
Zambia U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunaga H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Zambia U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 W 85 / 100
Zambia U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 W Zambia U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U17 W's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Zambia U17 W let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Japan U17 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 W VS Zambia U17 W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U17 W

(Home)
06 Jul
Japan U17 W
2 : 1
USA U17 W
03 Jul
Japan U17 W
5 : 3
USA U17 W
17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1
Japan U17 W
14 May
Japan U17 W
4 : 0
Australia U17 W
11 May
Japan U17 W
1 : 0
South Korea U17 W
Page 1 of 7

Zambia U17 W

(Away)
29 Oct
Canada U17 W
6 : 0
Zambia U17 W
25 Oct
New Zealand U17 W
0 : 4
Zambia U17 W
22 Oct
Japan U17 W
2 : 0
Zambia U17 W
19 Oct
Zambia U17 W
1 : 2
Paraguay U17 W
23 Oct
Zambia U17 W
1 : 4
Japan U17 W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U17 W330010:49
2Brazil U17 W31117:54
3Morocco U17 W31024:73
4Costa Rica U17 W30122:71
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U17 W33009:19
2Mexico U17 W32012:26
3Netherlands U17 W31024:93
4Cameroon U17 W30034:70
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA U17 W330013:29
2China U17 W320111:56
3Ecuador U17 W31022:73
4Norway U17 W30030:120
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada U17 W330012:29
2France U17 W32016:46
3Nigeria U17 W31025:53
4Samoa U17 W30032:140
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U17 W330012:09
2Colombia U17 W32014:46
3South Korea U17 W30121:71
4Ivory Coast U17 W30121:71
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U17 W32106:17
2Paraguay U17 W32107:37
3Zambia U17 W31025:43
4New Zealand U17 W30031:110
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)