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Friendly International 2024

South Korea U18

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Japan U18 play South Korea U18 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Japan U18 averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. South Korea U18 averaged 1.74 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Japan U18 won 0, South Korea U18 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 22, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.37 for Japan U18 and 1.46 for South Korea U18. This points to a Japan U18 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Japan U18

15%

Draws

36%

South Korea U18

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Japan U18 picked up more points recently compared to South Korea U18.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.37 vs 1.46 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Japan U18 Clean Sheet 16%

South Korea U18 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Japan U18	South Korea U18
Matches Played	28	23
Wins	15	9
Draws	2	3
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.71	1.74
Goals Conceded	1.54	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2024 Friendly International

Japan U18 vs South Korea U18

Possession: 40% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U18 47 / 100

South Korea U18 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Japan U18 South Korea U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Japan U18 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Japan U18 attacking → ← attacking South Korea U18

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U18 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

South Korea U18 let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Japan U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Korea U18 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 30

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.29

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.86