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Stadium Background

Japan U20 vs Mexico U20

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 Parc des sports, Avignon
Sat, Jun 7, 2025
1 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Navarrete L.
32' Event
Nishihara M.
Assist: Umeki R.
41'
Ichihara R.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U20 in this Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Japan U20
15%
Draws
42%
Mexico U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Japan U20 at 2.13 per game, Mexico U20 at 1.94.
  • Model gives Japan U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Japan U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Mexico U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U20 Mexico U20
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Maurice Revello Tournament
Japan U20 vs Mexico U20
1:2
Nov 16, 2024 Friendly International
Mexico U20 vs Japan U20
1:1
May 26, 2019 World Cup U20
Mexico U20 vs Japan U20
0:3
Jun 1, 2005 Maurice Revello Tournament
Japan U20 vs Mexico U20
0:0
Apr 18, 1999 World Cup U20
Japan U20 vs Mexico U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nishihara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Mexico U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camberos H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U20 35 / 100
Mexico U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U20 Mexico U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U20 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Japan U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Mexico U20 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Japan U20 VS Mexico U20
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Japan U20
4 : 0
Yemen U20
03 Sept
Cambodia U20
0 : 8
Japan U20
31 Aug
Japan U20
4 : 0
Kuwait U20
11 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 1
Japan U20
06 Jun
Japan U20
1 : 0
Canada U20
Page 1 of 6

Mexico U20

(Away)
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
28 Jul
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 7
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 1 0 2 5:5 4
3 Mali U20 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
4 Panama U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Relegation - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U20 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
2 Mexico U20 3 1 0 2 7:7 4
3 Japan U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 Congo U20 3 1 0 2 3:7 2
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Relegation - Maurice Revello Tournament 2025 (Placement Play Offs)