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JaPS vs KTP

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Järvenpään keskuskenttä
0 - 1
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JaPS play KTP in the Ykkosliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, JaPS averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. KTP averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, JaPS won 1, KTP won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for JaPS and 1.69 for KTP. This points to a KTP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
JaPS
17%
Draws
49%
KTP
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • JaPS picked up more points recently compared to KTP.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
JaPS Clean Sheet 13%
KTP Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JaPS KTP
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ykkosliiga
JaPS vs KTP
0:1
Feb 9, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KTP vs JaPS
3:0
Mar 9, 2025 Club Friendly
KTP vs JaPS
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs JaPS
1:2
Jul 5, 2024 Ykkosliiga
JaPS vs KTP
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JaPS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsell P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JaPS 33 / 100
KTP 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JaPS KTP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: KTP or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

JaPS attacking → ← attacking KTP

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JaPS scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

KTP let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

JaPS went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

KTP lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 56
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1KTP1392221:1329
2PK-351383221:727
3Haka1363421:1421
4Jippo1356217:1021
5JaPS1361612:1919
6Mikkelin1351712:1516
7Ekenas IF1351720:2616
8KaPa1243514:1715
9Klubi 041215610:148
10SJK Akatemia131394:176