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Jaragua vs Inhumas

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaragua play Inhumas in the Goiano 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jaragua averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Inhumas averaged 0.53 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Jaragua won 0, Inhumas won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 16, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Jaragua and 0.86 for Inhumas. This points to a Inhumas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jaragua
21%
Draws
43%
Inhumas
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Inhumas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaragua picked up more points recently compared to Inhumas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Jaragua Clean Sheet 25%
Inhumas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua Inhumas
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.67 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 Goiano 2
Jaragua vs Inhumas
0:0
Aug 21, 2022 Goiano 2
Inhumas vs Jaragua
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua 37 / 100
Inhumas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua Inhumas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Inhumas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jaragua attacking → ← attacking Inhumas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaragua scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Inhumas let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Jaragua went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Inhumas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 19
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inhumas1483317:727
2Goiania1481514:1125
3Anapolina1466216:1024
4Aparecida EC1454516:2019
5Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)1452723:2117
6Jaragua1444610:1216
7Itumbiara1444617:2216
8Cerrado EC142489:1910