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Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Cabeza Fernandez R.

AI Match Summary

Jaraiz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Jaraiz
28%
Draws
50%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Badajoz lately — more wins on the board than Jaraiz.
  • Model gives CD Badajoz a 50% chance of winning this.
  • CD Badajoz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaraiz, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 10%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaraiz CD Badajoz
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 22
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1 3.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Jaraiz
2:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz
1:4
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Jaraiz
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabeza Fernandez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Badajoz Compare

Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaraiz 22 / 100
CD Badajoz 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaraiz CD Badajoz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaraiz found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Jaraiz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CD Badajoz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaraiz VS CD Badajoz
1 Goals Scored 3.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaraiz

(Home)
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
17 May
Jaraiz
1 : 0
CD Badajoz
10 May
Villanovense
0 : 1
Jaraiz
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
26 Apr
AD Llerenense
1 : 1
Jaraiz
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CD Badajoz

(Away)
20 Jun
CD Cuarte
1 : 1
CD Badajoz
14 Jun
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CD Badajoz2
Jaraiz1
Moralo1
CD Azuaga0
Final
CD Badajoz2
Moralo0