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Jaraiz vs Montijo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Cruz L.
82' Event
Fobi K.
85'
Matos T.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Jaraiz and Montijo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jaraiz
40%
Draws
29%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaraiz come out ahead of Montijo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 16%
Montijo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaraiz Montijo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs Montijo
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Jaraiz
1:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs Montijo
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Jaraiz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Montijo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fobi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaraiz 31 / 100
Montijo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaraiz Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaraiz scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Montijo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Jaraiz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaraiz VS Montijo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaraiz

(Home)
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
17 May
Jaraiz
1 : 0
CD Badajoz
10 May
Villanovense
0 : 1
Jaraiz
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
26 Apr
AD Llerenense
1 : 1
Jaraiz
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Montijo

(Away)
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Montijo
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)