Sport Picks

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Jaro vs VPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
Jaro Logo

Jaro

1 - 3
FT
VPS Logo

VPS

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Raisanen A.
12' Event
Lindholm S.
Assist: Mane L.
16' Event
Lindholm S.
Assist: Turfkruier J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

VPS in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored VPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Jaro
15%
Draws
57%
VPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • VPS have won more games recently than Jaro.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Jaro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jaro Clean Sheet 13%
VPS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaro VPS
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.19 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs VPS
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Jaro
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 Liiga Cup
Jaro vs VPS
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Jaro
1:3
Jul 25, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs VPS
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kass Kawo O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindholm S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Daoussi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaro 35 / 100
VPS 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaro VPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaro scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

VPS let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: VPS registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaro VS VPS
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaro

(Home)
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
HJK
3 : 0
Jaro
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
01 Aug
Lahti
2 : 0
Jaro
24 Jul
Jaro
2 : 1
SJK
Page 1 of 7

VPS

(Away)
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
02 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Inter Turku
25 Jul
KuPS
3 : 1
VPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 21 12 7 2 38:22 43
2 Inter Turku 21 10 9 2 28:16 39
3 Gnistan 21 10 5 6 35:28 35
4 HJK 21 10 4 7 34:26 34
5 VPS 21 9 6 6 29:21 33
6 AC Oulu 21 10 3 8 25:25 33
7 TPS 21 8 6 7 27:22 30
8 Lahti 21 8 5 8 25:19 29
9 Ilves 21 7 4 10 33:35 25
10 SJK 21 4 6 11 25:33 18
11 Jaro 21 3 6 12 18:42 15
12 Mariehamn 21 2 5 14 15:43 11
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)