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Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Jarocin and Ostrovia Ostrow finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jarocin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Jarocin
15%
Draws
8%
Ostrovia Ostrow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Ostrovia Ostrow haven't matched Jarocin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jarocin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 20%
Ostrovia Ostrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin Ostrovia Ostrow
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow
6:0
Jul 25, 2018 Club Friendly
Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow
3:0
Apr 16, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Jarocin
2:2
Sep 19, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow
1:0
Jun 8, 2014 Division 2 - West
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Jarocin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 85 / 100
Ostrovia Ostrow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin Ostrovia Ostrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarocin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarocin scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Ostrovia Ostrow let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Jarocin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jarocin VS Ostrovia Ostrow
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarocin

(Home)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
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Ostrovia Ostrow

(Away)
15 Feb
Ostrovia Ostrow
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
27 Jul
Krotoszyn
3 : 3
Ostrovia Ostrow
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
25 Jul
Jarocin
3 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
04 Jun
Elana Torun
2 : 1
Ostrovia Ostrow
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