Sport Picks

Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion NK Jarun

Jarun

4 - 0

Croatia Zmijavci

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Grdenic T.

37'

Majic J.

43'

Orlic B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jarun in this Prva NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jarun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Jarun

17%

Draws

70%

Croatia Zmijavci

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Croatia Zmijavci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Croatia Zmijavci have won more games recently than Jarun.
Win probability leans Croatia Zmijavci's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Jarun Clean Sheet 21%

Croatia Zmijavci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jarun	Croatia Zmijavci
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	8	6
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	0.75	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Prva NL

Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Mar 7, 2026 Prva NL

Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

4:0

Oct 12, 2025 Prva NL

Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

May 4, 2025 Prva NL

Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun

Possession: 57% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Feb 22, 2025 Prva NL

Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkovic F.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Orlic B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Croatia Zmijavci Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 16 / 100

Croatia Zmijavci 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jarun Croatia Zmijavci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Croatia Zmijavci conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Jarun has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Croatia Zmijavci

0.75 Goals Scored 0.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rudes	33	19	8	6	49:29	65
2	Cibalia	33	17	7	9	51:33	58
3	Sesvete	33	16	9	8	42:28	57
4	Dugopolje	33	16	6	11	40:38	54
5	Dubrava Zagreb	33	13	8	12	39:46	47
6	Bijelo Brdo	33	11	9	13	30:30	42
7	Karlovac	33	13	3	17	40:45	42
8	Opatija	33	10	10	13	31:38	40
9	Orijent	33	9	11	13	40:41	38
10	Hrvace	33	10	6	17	36:48	36
11	Croatia Zmijavci	33	9	8	16	32:46	35
12	Jarun	33	8	9	16	34:42	33