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Stadium Background

Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Matic A.
46'
Sub
Sostar F. In: Buzic M.
Out: Sostar F.
52'
Jakovljevic N.

AI Match Summary

Dubrava Zagreb in this Prva NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dubrava Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Jarun
35%
Draws
35%
Dubrava Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Jarun haven't matched Dubrava Zagreb's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jarun's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jarun Clean Sheet 20%
Dubrava Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Dubrava Zagreb
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Prva NL
Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb
0:2
Mar 14, 2026 Prva NL
Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun
1:3
Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dubrava Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Matic A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 42 / 100
Dubrava Zagreb 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Dubrava Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dubrava Zagreb conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Jarun has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jarun found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Dubrava Zagreb
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
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Dubrava Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
12 Sept
Hrvace
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
06 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
2 : 1
Opatija
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
28 Aug
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Croatia Zmijavci
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)