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Jauniba / Upesciems vs Jurmalas

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kovals D.
46' Event
Pluta E.
65' Event
Baranovskis N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Jauniba / Upesciems advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Jauniba / Upesciems
28%
Draws
22%
Jurmalas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jauniba / Upesciems

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Jauniba / Upesciems carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jauniba / Upesciems a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Jauniba / Upesciems have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jauniba / Upesciems, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jauniba / Upesciems Clean Sheet 19%
Jurmalas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jauniba / Upesciems Jurmalas
Matches Played 2 2
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 2
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2019 Latvian Cup
Jauniba / Upesciems vs Jurmalas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jauniba / Upesciems Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovals D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baranovskis N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jurmalas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pluta E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jauniba / Upesciems 49 / 100
Jurmalas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jauniba / Upesciems Jurmalas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jurmalas conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jauniba / Upesciems's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Jauniba / Upesciems has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jauniba / Upesciems VS Jurmalas
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jauniba / Upesciems

(Home)
15 Jun
Salaspils FK
3 : 0
Jauniba / Upesciems
23 May
Jauniba / Upesciems
2 : 1
Jurmalas

Jurmalas

(Away)
06 Aug
FK Karosta
4 : 0
Jurmalas
23 May
Jauniba / Upesciems
2 : 1
Jurmalas

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
Ghetto / Gvatar-
Nikers-
TBD-
TBD-
Livani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Keiko Jekabpils-
TBD-
DSVK Traktors1
Krimulda3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Kalupe2
AFA Olaine1
TBD-
New Project-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta3
Riga United1
TBD-
FK Madona Kvarcs-
Lubana-
TBD-
TBD-
Tente-
FK Alberts-
TBD-
TBD-
Lielupe-
Aliance1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze0
Monarhs0
LDZ Cargo/DFA7
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Riga-
Albatroz-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Salaspils FK4
Fk Jurnieks Riga1
Jurmalas1
Jauniba / Upesciems2
Marupe-
TBD-
FK Limbazi2
Caramba8
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/32-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene3
Ghetto / Gvatar0
Nikers1
Livani5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 20005
FK Auda Riga1
Keiko Jekabpils2
Krimulda3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova4
Rezekne3
Kalupe0
New Project1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta8
FK Madona Kvarcs1
Lubana2
Tente6
FK Alberts2
Lielupe1
Aliance1
LDZ Cargo/DFA2
Alberts JDFS3
Dinamo Riga1
Albatroz1
Grobina2
Salaspils FK3
Jauniba / Upesciems0
Marupe3
Caramba5
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/16-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene7
Livani0
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 20009
Krimulda1
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova2
New Project1
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta1
Tente0
FK Alberts0
LDZ Cargo/DFA6
Alberts JDFS4
Grobina2
Salaspils FK0
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/8-finals
RFS2
Valmiera1
FK Smiltene0
FK Liepaja4
Tukums 20004
Ventspils1
Super Nova0
Riga FC6
FK Karosta4
LDZ Cargo/DFA1
Alberts JDFS0
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils1
Spartaks Jurmala0
FK Metta0
Jelgava1
Quarter-finals
RFS2
FK Liepaja1
Tukums 20000
Riga FC4
FK Karosta2
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils1
Jelgava2
Semi-finals
RFS3
Riga FC1
FK Karosta0
Jelgava5
Final
RFS3
Jelgava2