Sport Picks

Finland

Ykkonen 2025 Porin Stadion

EPS

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jazz Pori play EPS in the Ykkonen 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jazz Pori averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. EPS averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Jazz Pori won 2, EPS won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 26, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Jazz Pori and 1.63 for EPS. This points to a EPS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Jazz Pori

17%

Draws

46%

EPS

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: EPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Jazz Pori picked up more points recently compared to EPS.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Jazz Pori Clean Sheet 14%

EPS Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jazz Pori	EPS
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	8	11
Draws	4	4
Losses	17	13
Goals Scored	1.38	1.71
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.61
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 Ykkonen

Jazz Pori vs EPS

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Jul 1, 2025 Ykkonen

Jazz Pori vs EPS

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

7:0

Apr 12, 2025 Ykkonen

EPS vs Jazz Pori

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Jul 26, 2024 Ykkonen

Jazz Pori vs EPS

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

May 18, 2024 Ykkonen

EPS vs Jazz Pori

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jazz Pori Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

EPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Huhtamaki R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jazz Pori 36 / 100

EPS 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jazz Pori EPS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: EPS or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jazz Pori attacking → ← attacking EPS

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jazz Pori scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

EPS let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Jazz Pori went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

EPS lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 37

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00