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Jeonbuk vs Gwangju FC

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeonju World Cup Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Park Jeong-In
43' Event
Oberdan
45'
Kim Jin-Ho

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Jeonbuk and Gwangju FC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jeonbuk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jeonbuk
6%
Draws
4%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jeonbuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jeonbuk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jeonbuk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jeonbuk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 20%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeonbuk Gwangju FC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Gwangju FC
4:0
Mar 14, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Korean Cup
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
1:2
May 11, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeonbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Oberdan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Seung-Sub
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gwangju FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeonbuk 85 / 100
Gwangju FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeonbuk Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeonbuk found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Gwangju FC let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Jeonbuk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jeonbuk VS Gwangju FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Gangwon1887323:1131
3Jeonbuk1885525:1629
4Ulsan Hyundai1884626:2628
5Pohang1884619:1628
6Incheon1873822:1924
7Anyang1758422:1923
8Jeju SK1865716:1823
9Daejeon1847721:2019
10Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
11Gimcheon Sangmu18210617:2516
12Gwangju FC1715118:418