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Jerusalem FC vs Holon Yermiyahu Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Fri, Apr 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jerusalem FC host Holon Yermiyahu in the Liga Alef South 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Jerusalem FC at 1.95 goals for, 1.19 against; Holon Yermiyahu at 1.05 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Jerusalem FC slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.63 - 0.38) back Jerusalem FC to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jerusalem FC
30%
Draws
27%
Holon Yermiyahu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jerusalem FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jerusalem FC lately — more wins on the board than Holon Yermiyahu.
  • Jerusalem FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 20%
Holon Yermiyahu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerusalem FC Holon Yermiyahu
Matches Played 21 22
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.95 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Holon Yermiyahu
0:0
Jan 6, 2026 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Jerusalem FC
3:3
Mar 7, 2025 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Holon Yermiyahu
2:0
Nov 1, 2024 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Jerusalem FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerusalem FC 85 / 100
Holon Yermiyahu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerusalem FC Holon Yermiyahu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerusalem FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jerusalem FC scored in 86% of their last 21 outings.

Jerusalem FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Holon Yermiyahu let in goals in 68% of their last 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jerusalem FC VS Holon Yermiyahu
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerusalem FC

(Home)
30 Sept
Tzeirei Tira
0 : 2
Jerusalem FC
24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
04 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
Page 1 of 5

Holon Yermiyahu

(Away)
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
04 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0
Ramat Hasharon
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)