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Jeunesse Villenavaise vs Pontivy

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CFA - Group D 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2013/2014 game between Jeunesse Villenavaise and Pontivy finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontivy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jeunesse Villenavaise
6%
Draws
90%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pontivy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pontivy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pontivy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jeunesse Villenavaise Clean Sheet 11%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeunesse Villenavaise Pontivy
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Jeunesse Villenavaise vs Pontivy
1:3
Aug 17, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Jeunesse Villenavaise
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeunesse Villenavaise 10 / 100
Pontivy 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeunesse Villenavaise Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Jeunesse Villenavaise scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Pontivy conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Jeunesse Villenavaise remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jeunesse Villenavaise VS Pontivy
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeunesse Villenavaise

(Home)
09 Dec
Jeunesse Villenavaise
2 : 4
Libourne
19 Nov
Jeunesse Villenavaise
1 : 0
JA Isle
24 May
Bordeaux II
3 : 0
Jeunesse Villenavaise
17 May
Jeunesse Villenavaise
1 : 3
Pontivy
10 May
Plabennec
2 : 1
Jeunesse Villenavaise
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Pontivy

(Away)
20 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Bastia
29 Nov
Espoir
0 : 4
Pontivy
15 Nov
Challans
0 : 2
Pontivy
09 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Rouen
18 Nov
Pontivy
2 : 0
Plougastel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avranches30196556:2293
2Saint-Malo30175845:2986
3Les Herbiers301311646:2680
4Nantes II30138931:2377
5Trelissac301281029:2674
6Vitre301191036:3972
7Concarneau301011933:3471
8Stade Bordelais301171229:3670
9Bordeaux II30912933:2569
10Pontivy30991236:3966
11Viry-Chatillon30714927:3465
12Romorantin308101233:3664
13Fontenay30891336:4863
14Cherbourg30891327:4363
15Plabennec306101428:4258
16Jeunesse Villenavaise30681628:5154
Promotion - National 2014/2015 (Main)