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JFK Ventspils vs RFS 2

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Rudens K.
41'
Kuliks M.
49'
Veidemanis R.

AI Match Summary

RFS 2 in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
JFK Ventspils
22%
Draws
60%
RFS 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: RFS 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • RFS 2 average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of JFK Ventspils's 1.13.
  • Model gives RFS 2 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 16%
RFS 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JFK Ventspils RFS 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs RFS 2
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs RFS 2
0:2
May 18, 2025 Nakotnes liga
RFS 2 vs JFK Ventspils
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs RFS 2
0:0
Jul 28, 2024 Nakotnes liga
RFS 2 vs JFK Ventspils
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JFK Ventspils Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

RFS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rudens K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sylla M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 19 / 100
RFS 2 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JFK Ventspils RFS 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JFK Ventspils scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: RFS 2 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: JFK Ventspils stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JFK Ventspils VS RFS 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ogre United26184466:2058
2Alberts JDFS26177260:2458
3Riga Mariners26184474:3458
4JFK Ventspils261110540:2943
5RFS 226118746:3141
6Skanste26117836:3940
7Leevon PPK261061040:4036
8Marupe261021430:3332
9Rezekne26871136:5731
10FK Smiltene26841446:4828
11Riga FC 226661435:4324
12Tukums 2000 226721737:6023
13AFA Olaine26641639:8822
14Augsdaugavas26351819:5814