Sport Picks

Stadium Background

JFK Ventspils vs Skanste

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JFK Ventspils host Skanste in the 1. Liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Skanste have shipped 1.8 goals a game lately, while JFK Ventspils have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.11. Head-to-head, JFK Ventspils have won 1 to Skanste's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.00, favoring Skanste. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
JFK Ventspils
20%
Draws
73%
Skanste
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skanste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skanste lately — more wins on the board than JFK Ventspils.
  • Win probability leans Skanste's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JFK Ventspils Skanste
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.11 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 1. Liga
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 1. Liga
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
2:2
Oct 19, 2024 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
1:2
Jun 29, 2024 1. Liga
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
Skanste 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JFK Ventspils Skanste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skanste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skanste let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

JFK Ventspils scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

JFK Ventspils has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

JFK Ventspils VS Skanste
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

JFK Ventspils

(Home)
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
08 Aug
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Super Nova 2
02 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

Skanste

(Away)
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 20 14 4 2 37:22 46
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Skanste 20 8 2 10 43:41 26
8 Riga FC 2 20 7 4 9 29:37 25
9 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
10 RFS 2 20 4 3 13 31:56 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
Promotion - Virsliga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Virsliga (Relegation)