Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jiangxi Lushan vs Jinan Xingzhou

China China

Jia League 2023 Ruichang Sports Park Stadium, Jiujiang
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Weslley
Assist: Mendy L.
14' Event
Tambe R.
Assist: Xu Jizu
32'
Sub
Lu Yongtao In: Yi Xianlong
Out: Lu Yongtao

AI Match Summary

The Jia League 2023 game between Jiangxi Lushan and Jinan Xingzhou finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Jiangxi Lushan
22%
Draws
18%
Jinan Xingzhou
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jiangxi Lushan come out ahead of Jinan Xingzhou on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jiangxi Lushan a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jia League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 68%
Jinan Xingzhou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jiangxi Lushan Jinan Xingzhou
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2023 League One
Jiangxi Lushan vs Jinan Xingzhou
2:2
May 20, 2023 League One
Jinan Xingzhou vs Jiangxi Lushan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Weslley
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Jinan Xingzhou Compare

Top Goalscorer Tambe R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sunzu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jiangxi Lushan 68 / 100
Jinan Xingzhou 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jiangxi Lushan Jinan Xingzhou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jinan Xingzhou conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jiangxi Lushan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jiangxi Lushan VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jiangxi Lushan

(Home)
19 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
08 Jul
Hangzhou Linping
2 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
05 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
1 : 2
Jiangxi Lushan
28 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
24 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Ganzhou Ruishi
Page 1 of 7

Jinan Xingzhou

(Away)
05 Nov
Foshan Nanshi
2 : 0
Jinan Xingzhou
28 Oct
Jinan Xingzhou
1 : 2
Wuxi Wugou
21 Oct
Dandong Tengyue
1 : 1
Jinan Xingzhou
18 Oct
Nanjing City
0 : 1
Jinan Xingzhou
14 Oct
Jinan Xingzhou
0 : 0
Suzhou Dongwu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shenzhen Xinpengcheng30223551:1969
2Qingdao West Coast301710344:2261
3Shijiazhuang Gongfu30168643:2356
4Guangxi Pingguo Haliao301412438:2054
5Nanjing City301213534:2249
6Jinan Xingzhou301110934:3143
7Foshan Nanshi301181131:3441
8Yanbian Longding308121031:3236
9Dingnan Ganlian30981342:4035
10Liaoning Tieren308111130:4235
11Shanghai Jiading Huilong307101320:3731
12Guangzhou FC30861631:4330
13Dandong Tengyue306121228:3830
14Suzhou Dongwu306101428:4128
15Wuxi Wugou30671729:5425
16Jiangxi Lushan30661829:4524
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