Sport Picks
JK Poseidon vs Tartu JK Welco Prediction & H2H Stats
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Manucho
18'
18'
Magi M.
Own Goal
20'
20'
Sossi M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-6, with Tartu JK Welco advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: JK Poseidon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- JK Poseidon haven't matched Tartu JK Welco's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Tartu JK Welco's way, sitting at 90%.
- Tartu JK Welco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tartu JK Welco, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
JK Poseidon Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | JK Poseidon | Tartu JK Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.08 | 2.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.15 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2025 Estonian Cup
JK Poseidon vs Tartu JK Welco
0:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
JK Poseidon Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Tartu JK Welco Compare
Top Goalscorer Manucho
1 Goals Assists Leader Mugra M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
JK Poseidon 10 / 100
Tartu JK Welco 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
JK Poseidon Tartu JK Welco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
JK Poseidon scored in 65% of their last 26 games.
Tartu JK Welco has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
Recent resilience: JK Poseidon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
JK Poseidon VS Tartu JK Welco
1.5 Goals Scored 4
7 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
JK Poseidon
(Home) 11 Aug
JK Poseidon
0 : 12 Kalju
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
15 Oct
JK Poseidon
0 : 6 Tartu JK Welco
27 Aug
JK Poseidon
1 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
JK Poseidon
0 : 12 Kalju
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
15 Oct
JK Poseidon
0 : 6 Tartu JK Welco
27 Aug
JK Poseidon
1 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
06 Sept
JK Poseidon
2 : 3 Arukula Vigri
Page 1 of 3
Tartu JK Welco
(Away) 17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0 Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0 Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3 Viimsi JK
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0 Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
23 Aug
Kalju U21
2 : 4 Tartu JK Welco
12 Aug
Kose
0 : 8 Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U18 -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
TransferWise -
Tallinna Wolves 6
Soccernet 4
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri III -
Saue JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Maksatransport -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
TBD -
Narva -
Lootus JK Jarve -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 2
Rae Spordikool 4
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Johvi Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose II -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
TalTech JK -
Tamper -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Kose -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
Tartu Kalev 1
Elva 2
TBD -
Legion -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Smsraha -
Tallinna Kalev III -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt 2
FC Lootos Polva 0
Raplamaa 1
Saku Sporting 5
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Kubik 0
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tulevik 6
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Keila JK 5
Kallaste United 2
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Vana Hea Puur 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 1
Tartu JK Welco 16
Kuusalu Kalev 0
TBD -
Tartu Helios -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiine -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Kohvile 0
Helm 4
Levadia -
TBD -
Flora U18 1
Flora Tallinn U21 12
Tabasalu Ulasabat 13
Eston Villa 0
Harju JK Laagri 26
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Wolves 3
Raasiku Joker 4
Nomme Utd 5
Harju JK Laagri III 1
Saue JK Laagri 6
Maksatransport 1
Tartu JK Welco 2 0
Narva 8
Lootus JK Jarve 1
Rae Spordikool 10
FC Tallinn 7
Zealot Sporting 1
Johvi Phoenix -
Kose II -
TBD -
Kalju -
Viimsi JK 7
TalTech JK 1
Tamper 4
Rumori Calcio 2
Kose 0
Kuressaare 7
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora U19 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 0
Elva 3
Legion 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Tallinna Smsraha 7
Tallinna Kalev III 9
EstHam United 0
Hiiumaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 7
FC Hell Hunt 0
Saku Sporting 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 13
Tulevik 0
Jarva-Jaani 1
Keila JK 4
Maardu Aliens 1
JK Poseidon 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Tartu Helios 0
Arukula Vigri 0
Kristiine 4
1/16-finals
Flora 14
Helm 0
Levadia 4
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Raasiku Joker 1
Nomme Utd 4
Saue JK Laagri 0
Narva 4
Rae Spordikool 0
FC Tallinn 9
Johvi Phoenix 1
Kalju 6
Viimsi JK 4
Tamper 1
Kuressaare 1
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Flora U19 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Elva 3
Tallinna Smsraha 2
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
Saku Sporting 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 9
Keila JK 0
JK Poseidon 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Kristiine 0
1/8-finals
Flora 3
Levadia 1
Harju JK Laagri 0
Nomme Utd 1
Narva 6
FC Tallinn 0
Kalju 0
Viimsi JK 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Tammeka Tartu 0
Elva 1
Tallinna Kalev 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
JK Poseidon 0
Tartu JK Welco 6
Quarter-finals
Flora 3
Nomme Utd 1
Narva 4
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Tallinna Kalev 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Tartu JK Welco 1
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Final
Flora 5
Paide Linnameeskond 1
