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JKT Tanzania vs Geita Gold

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JKT Tanzania play Geita Gold in the Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, JKT Tanzania averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. Geita Gold averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, JKT Tanzania won 1, Geita Gold won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for JKT Tanzania and 1.19 for Geita Gold. This points to a JKT Tanzania double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
JKT Tanzania
33%
Draws
24%
Geita Gold
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: JKT Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • JKT Tanzania picked up more points recently compared to Geita Gold.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 20%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JKT Tanzania Geita Gold
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Geita Gold
2:0
Nov 22, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs JKT Tanzania
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JKT Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Maguru N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lyanga D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Geita Gold Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JKT Tanzania 43 / 100
Geita Gold 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JKT Tanzania Geita Gold

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: JKT Tanzania or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

JKT Tanzania attacking → ← attacking Geita Gold

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JKT Tanzania scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

Geita Gold let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

JKT Tanzania went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Geita Gold lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 24
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

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