Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Joinville vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
80'
81'

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Joinville
15%
Draws
34%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Joinville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Joinville haven't matched Blumenau's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Joinville a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Blumenau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Joinville, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Joinville Clean Sheet 16%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville Blumenau
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.55 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Blumenau
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Joinville
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Blumenau
1:0
Oct 13, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Blumenau
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Joinville
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville 41 / 100
Blumenau 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blumenau let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Blumenau's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Joinville found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Joinville VS Blumenau
1.6 Goals Scored 1.5
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville

(Home)
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
07 Jun
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Joinville
Page 1 of 7

Blumenau

(Away)
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 4 3 0 1 14:8 9
2 Figueirense 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Santa Catarina 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Hercilio Luz 3 2 0 1 9:7 6
5 Joinville 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
6 CA Metropolitano 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
8 Blumenau 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
9 Nacao 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)