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Stadium Background

Jong Heracles vs Jong Willem II

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Cijntje J.
39' Event
Szoke A.
84' Event
Szoke A.

AI Match Summary

Jong Heracles in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Jong Heracles
15%
Draws
36%
Jong Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Heracles have won more games recently than Jong Willem II.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heracles Jong Willem II
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.85 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Willem II
3:1
Mar 11, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Willem II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Szoke A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cijntje J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Jong Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gladon P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heracles 36 / 100
Jong Willem II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heracles Jong Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Willem II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Heracles found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Jong Willem II has conceded goals in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Away concern: Jong Willem II has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heracles VS Jong Willem II
1.13 Goals Scored 0.2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heracles

(Home)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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Jong Willem II

(Away)
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong Heerenveen
9 : 1
Jong Willem II
17 Feb
Jong Heracles
3 : 1
Jong Willem II
03 Feb
Groningen U21
4 : 1
Jong Willem II
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