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JS Kairouan vs Etoile Sahel

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kanou A.
51'
Zairi A.
64'
Sub
Ben Choug F. In: Ben Amor M.
Out: Ben Choug F.

AI Match Summary

Etoile Sahel in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etoile Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
JS Kairouan
20%
Draws
29%
Etoile Sahel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: JS Kairouan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Etoile Sahel lately — more wins on the board than JS Kairouan.
  • JS Kairouan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Etoile Sahel have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
JS Kairouan Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JS Kairouan Etoile Sahel
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.66 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
JS Kairouan vs Etoile Sahel
1:2
Sep 16, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs JS Kairouan
2:3
Apr 30, 2025 Tunisia Cup
JS Kairouan vs Etoile Sahel
0:1
Apr 7, 2021 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs JS Kairouan
5:1
Jan 27, 2021 Ligue Professionnelle 1
JS Kairouan vs Etoile Sahel
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JS Kairouan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Etoile Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Amor M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ben Seghaier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JS Kairouan 50 / 100
Etoile Sahel 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JS Kairouan Etoile Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JS Kairouan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

JS Kairouan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Etoile Sahel registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

JS Kairouan scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

JS Kairouan VS Etoile Sahel
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

JS Kairouan

(Home)
14 May
Metlaoui
0 : 0
JS Kairouan
08 May
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Monastir
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1
Ben Guerdane
26 Apr
Club Africain
2 : 0
JS Kairouan
Page 1 of 6

Etoile Sahel

(Away)
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1
Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1
Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)