Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juara vs Sorriso EC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2025
Sat, Jun 28, 2025
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juara host Sorriso EC in the Matogrossense 2 2025. Sorriso EC are expected to control this from the start. Sorriso EC have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Juara have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.8. Past meetings favor Juara slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Sorriso EC. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Juara
25%
Draws
35%
Sorriso EC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Juara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sorriso EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Juara Clean Sheet 20%
Sorriso EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juara Sorriso EC
Matches Played 10 13
Wins 5 6
Draws 3 2
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.8 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Juara vs Sorriso EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juara 36 / 100
Sorriso EC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juara Sorriso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorriso EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorriso EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 13 matches.

Away concern: Sorriso EC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Juara VS Sorriso EC
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juara

(Home)

Sorriso EC

(Away)
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0
Sorriso EC
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
21 May
Sorriso EC
2 : 3
Cacerense
17 May
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 1
Sorriso EC
01 May
Sorriso EC
9 : 0
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorriso EC 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Chapada 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Campo Novo 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
6 Juara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacerense 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
3 Dom Bosco 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
4 Uirapuru 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Acao 4 1 0 3 7:8 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)