Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez U21 vs Cruz Azul U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Fri, Jan 30, 2026
0 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Jimenez C.
1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Juarez U21 and Cruz Azul U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruz Azul U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Juarez U21
30%
Draws
43%
Cruz Azul U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruz Azul U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Juarez U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez U21 Cruz Azul U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
0:1
Sep 19, 2025 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Juarez U21
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez U21 36 / 100
Cruz Azul U21 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez U21 Cruz Azul U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juarez U21 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Cruz Azul U21 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Juarez U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Juarez U21 VS Cruz Azul U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez U21

(Home)
21 Aug
Juarez U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
31 Jul
Juarez U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
17 Jul
Juarez U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
10 May
Guadalajara Chivas U21
0 : 0
Juarez U21
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul U21

(Away)
16 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
0 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
01 Aug
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1
Atlante U21
21 Jul
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
17 Jul
Atletico San Luis U21
2 : 3
Cruz Azul U21
26 Apr
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 1
Necaxa U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)