Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juazeirense vs Itabaiana

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estádio Adauto Moraes, Juazeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Luan
13'
Ze Romario
31'
Isaque

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Juazeirense
30%
Draws
12%
Itabaiana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juazeirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juazeirense lately — more wins on the board than Itabaiana.
  • Win probability leans Juazeirense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Juazeirense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Juazeirense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Juazeirense Clean Sheet 20%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juazeirense Itabaiana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Juazeirense vs Itabaiana
3:0
Jul 21, 2024 Serie D
Itabaiana vs Juazeirense
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Serie D
Juazeirense vs Itabaiana
1:1
Sep 5, 2021 Serie D
Juazeirense vs Itabaiana
1:1
Jun 6, 2021 Serie D
Itabaiana vs Juazeirense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juazeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diki
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.41
Avg xA / game 0.27

Itabaiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juazeirense 58 / 100
Itabaiana 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juazeirense Itabaiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juazeirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Juazeirense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Itabaiana registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juazeirense VS Itabaiana
0.43 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
29% Over 1.5 38%
14% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juazeirense

(Home)
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1
Juazeirense
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
Page 1 of 6

Itabaiana

(Away)
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0
Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6