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Juazeiro vs Catuense

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catuense in this Baiano 2 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catuense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Juazeiro
20%
Draws
30%
Catuense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Juazeiro have won more games recently than Catuense.
  • Juazeiro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Juazeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Catuense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juazeiro Catuense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2016 Baiano 2
Catuense vs Juazeiro
5:3
Jul 16, 2016 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Catuense
1:2
Jan 8, 2014 Baiano
Catuense vs Juazeiro
4:2
Mar 17, 2007 Baiano
Catuense vs Juazeiro
1:3
Feb 6, 2007 Baiano
Juazeiro vs Catuense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juazeiro 85 / 100
Catuense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juazeiro Catuense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juazeiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catuense has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Juazeiro scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Solid form: Juazeiro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juazeiro VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juazeiro

(Home)
09 Jul
Juazeiro
1 : 2
Grapiuna
02 Jul
Jequie
1 : 0
Juazeiro
27 Jun
Juazeiro
1 : 1
UNIRB
18 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 0
Juazeiro
11 Jun
Juazeiro
4 : 0
Leonico
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Catuense

(Away)
11 Sept
EC Ypiranga
4 : 1
Catuense
07 Sept
Catuense
5 : 3
Juazeiro
03 Sept
Alagoinhas
1 : 0
Catuense
27 Aug
Atlantico EC
5 : 1
Catuense
20 Aug
Teixeira de Freitas
1 : 0
Catuense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teixeira de Freitas 10 7 0 3 20:11 21
2 Atlantico EC 10 5 3 2 16:10 18
3 EC Ypiranga 10 5 2 3 20:14 17
4 Alagoinhas 10 3 3 4 11:14 12
5 Catuense 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
6 Juazeiro 10 1 2 7 12:23 5
Promotion - Baiano 2 2016 (Play Offs)