Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Junior vs Once Caldas

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gomez P.
Assist: Roa A.
28'
Mejia R.
29'
Angel Bernal F. S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Junior
20%
Draws
44%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Once Caldas have won more games recently than Junior.
  • Model gives Junior a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Once Caldas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Junior Clean Sheet 68%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior Once Caldas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Once Caldas
1:1
May 14, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Once Caldas
2:2
May 10, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
0:1
Feb 12, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junior Compare

Top Goalscorer Monzon L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrios C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 68 / 100
Once Caldas 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior Once Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Junior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Once Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Junior remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Once Caldas
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4
Junior
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0
Junior
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3
Jaguares de Cordoba
29 Aug
Junior
1 : 1
Santa Fe
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2
Junior
Page 1 of 6

Once Caldas

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Alianza
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atl. Nacional 9
Inter Bogotá 2
Dep. Pasto 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Junior 3
Once Caldas 2
America De Cali 1
Santa Fe 5
Semi-finals
Atl. Nacional 4
Deportes Tolima 1
Junior 2
Santa Fe 1
Final
Atl. Nacional 1
Junior 3