Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Junior vs Once Caldas

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gomez P.
Assist: Roa A.
28'
Mejia R.
29'
Angel Bernal F. S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera A tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Junior
40%
Draws
29%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Junior have won more games recently than Once Caldas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Junior have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Junior, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Junior Clean Sheet 19%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior Once Caldas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 14
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Once Caldas
2:2
May 10, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
0:1
Feb 12, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
2:2
Feb 13, 2025 Primera A
Junior vs Once Caldas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junior Compare

Top Goalscorer Monzon L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrios C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 32 / 100
Once Caldas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior Once Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Once Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Junior remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Once Caldas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)
26 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Junior
23 Jul
Junior
2 : 2
Barranquilla
08 Jun
Atl. Nacional
1 : 0
Junior
03 Jun
Junior
3 : 0
Atl. Nacional
28 May
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Junior
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Once Caldas

(Away)
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0
Envigado
14 May
Junior
2 : 2
Once Caldas
10 May
Once Caldas
0 : 1
Junior
01 May
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Atl. Nacional
26 Apr
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Once Caldas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atl. Nacional9
Inter Bogotá2
Dep. Pasto0
Deportes Tolima3
Junior3
Once Caldas2
America De Cali1
Santa Fe5
Semi-finals
Atl. Nacional4
Deportes Tolima1
Junior2
Santa Fe1
Final
Atl. Nacional1
Junior3