Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juticalpa vs Olimpia

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Rodriguez J.
43' Event
Rodriguez E.
46'
Sub
Quaye W. In: Gomez A.
Out: Quaye W.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Juticalpa and Olimpia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Juticalpa
15%
Draws
65%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia come out ahead of Juticalpa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Olimpia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juticalpa Olimpia
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 22
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.9 2
Goals Conceded 2.31 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olimpia
1:3
Mar 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olimpia
1:6
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Juticalpa
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olimpia
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Juticalpa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juticalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rochez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juticalpa 10 / 100
Olimpia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juticalpa Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Juticalpa scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Olimpia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Juticalpa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juticalpa VS Olimpia
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Juticalpa

(Home)
14 Sept
Atletico Independiente
2 : 1
Juticalpa
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Estrella
5 : 2
Juticalpa
17 Aug
Olancho
1 : 0
Juticalpa
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Olimpia

(Away)
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
30 Aug
Estrella
2 : 2
Olimpia
28 Aug
Olimpia
2 : 1
Saprissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marathon 7 5 2 0 12:3 17
2 Real Espana 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
3 Olimpia 7 4 2 1 15:7 14
4 Motagua 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
5 Genesis FC 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Olancho 7 2 4 1 6:5 10
7 Atletico Independiente 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
8 Estrella 7 2 3 2 13:14 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
10 Platense 7 1 2 4 6:16 5
11 CD Choloma 7 1 1 5 4:8 4
12 Juticalpa 7 1 0 6 5:17 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)