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Juve Stabia vs Monza

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Lucchesi L.
45'
Mosti N.
57' Event
Mosti N.
Assist: Cacciamani A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Juve Stabia
30%
Draws
41%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monza lately — more wins on the board than Juve Stabia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Monza arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 12%
Monza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juve Stabia Monza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Serie B
Monza vs Juve Stabia
2:1
May 16, 2026 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Monza
2:2
Feb 15, 2026 Serie B
Monza vs Juve Stabia
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Monza
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juve Stabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosti N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okoro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Carboni A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Delli Carri F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juve Stabia 35 / 100
Monza 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juve Stabia Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juve Stabia scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Monza has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Juve Stabia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juve Stabia VS Monza
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Juve Stabia

(Home)
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1
Cesena
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3
Pisa
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Palermo
1 : 0
Juve Stabia
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Monza

(Away)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Torino
0 : 1
Monza
29 Aug
Monza
2 : 3
Udinese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Monza -
TBD -
Modena 0
Juve Stabia 1
Palermo -
TBD -
Catanzaro 3
Avellino 0
Semi-finals
Monza 4
Juve Stabia 3
Palermo 2
Catanzaro 3
Final
Monza 2
Catanzaro 2