Sport Picks
Juventud de Bernal vs Deportivo Metalurgico
Argentina
Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 
Match Events
15'
15'
Gimenez E.
79'
79'
De Robertis L.
90'
90'
Godoy L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 game between Juventud de Bernal and Deportivo Metalurgico finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Metalurgico.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Metalurgico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Deportivo Metalurgico carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Deportivo Metalurgico a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Deportivo Metalurgico have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Juventud de Bernal Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Metalurgico Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Juventud de Bernal | Deportivo Metalurgico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 29, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Deportivo Metalurgico
1:5
Sep 21, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Juventud de Bernal
2:0
Aug 27, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Deportivo Metalurgico
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Juventud de Bernal
4:2
Apr 13, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Deportivo Metalurgico
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Juventud de Bernal Compare
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Deportivo Metalurgico Compare
Top Goalscorer Gimenez E.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Robertis L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Juventud de Bernal 10 / 100
Deportivo Metalurgico 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Juventud de Bernal Deportivo Metalurgico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Juventud de Bernal scored in 48% of their last 27 outings.
Deportivo Metalurgico let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Juventud de Bernal stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Juventud de Bernal VS Deportivo Metalurgico
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Juventud de Bernal
(Home) 14 Jul
Juventud de Bernal
0 : 4 Provincial
06 Jul
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 2 Juventud de Bernal
29 Jun
Juventud de Bernal
1 : 5 Deportivo Metalurgico
20 Jun
Social Atletico Television
1 : 0 Juventud de Bernal
13 Jun
Atletico Pilar
3 : 0 Juventud de Bernal
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Juventud de Bernal
0 : 4 Provincial
29 Jun
Juventud de Bernal
1 : 5 Deportivo Metalurgico
06 Jun
Juventud de Bernal
0 : 2 Nautico Hacoaj
26 Sept
Juventud de Bernal
0 : 2 Everton La Plata
15 Sept
Juventud de Bernal
0 : 2 Nautico Hacoaj
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Metalurgico
(Away) 12 Jul
Atletico Pilar
1 : 1 Deportivo Metalurgico
04 Jul
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0 Social Atletico Television
29 Jun
Juventud de Bernal
1 : 5 Deportivo Metalurgico
21 Jun
Deportivo Metalurgico
0 : 1 Nautico Hacoaj
12 Jun
Defensores de Glew
1 : 2 Deportivo Metalurgico
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Atletico Pilar
1 : 1 Deportivo Metalurgico
29 Jun
Juventud de Bernal
1 : 5 Deportivo Metalurgico
12 Jun
Defensores de Glew
1 : 2 Deportivo Metalurgico
01 Jun
Estrella de Berisso
0 : 1 Deportivo Metalurgico
19 Oct
Puerto Nuevo
3 : 0 Deportivo Metalurgico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ezeiza | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Social Atletico Television | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Defensores de Glew | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:12 | 17 |
| 4 | Belgrano Zarate | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Estrella de Berisso | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Atletico Pilar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4:19 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Barrancas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Nautico Hacoaj | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Everton La Plata | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 5 | Provincial | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 6 | Juventud de Bernal | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)