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Juventude vs Rosariense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Pires O.
80' Event
Morais A.
90' Event
Silva D.

AI Match Summary

Rosariense in this Campeonato Nacional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rosariense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Juventude
35%
Draws
37%
Rosariense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rosariense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rosariense have won more games recently than Juventude.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Juventude Clean Sheet 10%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventude Rosariense
Matches Played 12 18
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1 1.28
Goals Conceded 2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Juventude
1:1
May 18, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Juventude vs Rosariense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Morais A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rosariense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pires O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventude 30 / 100
Rosariense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventude Rosariense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosariense let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Juventude remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Juventude scored in 58% of their last 12 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juventude VS Rosariense
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventude

(Home)
15 Jun
Juventude
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
08 Jun
Academico do Sal
0 : 2
Juventude
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
11 May
Juventude
3 : 3
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 3

Rosariense

(Away)
15 Jun
Rosariense
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico do Sal 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
2 Academica do Fogo 6 2 2 2 11:6 8
3 Rosariense 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Juventude 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 13:5 12
2 Morabeza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
3 Barreirense 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 FC Derby 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
3 Ultramarina 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
4 Sanjoanenses 6 0 2 4 3:8 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams