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K. Istklalspor vs Soma Spor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ruzgar K.
Assist: Nas S.
32' Event
Ruzgar K.
45' Event
Fakili K.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between K. Istklalspor and Soma Spor finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward K. Istklalspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
K. Istklalspor
6%
Draws
4%
Soma Spor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: K. Istklalspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and K. Istklalspor come out ahead of Soma Spor on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on K. Istklalspor taking it.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
K. Istklalspor Clean Sheet 68%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric K. Istklalspor Soma Spor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs K. Istklalspor
2:3
Dec 21, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
K. Istklalspor vs Soma Spor
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

K. Istklalspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruzgar K.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Fakili K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Soma Spor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

K. Istklalspor 95 / 100
Soma Spor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
K. Istklalspor Soma Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

K. Istklalspor found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Soma Spor has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: K. Istklalspor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

K. Istklalspor VS Soma Spor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

K. Istklalspor

(Home)
04 May
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
30 Apr
K. Istklalspor
0 : 0
Mardin 1969
25 Apr
Soma Spor
2 : 3
K. Istklalspor
19 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0
Ankara Demirspor
12 Apr
Mardin 1969
2 : 1
K. Istklalspor
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Soma Spor

(Away)
25 Apr
Soma Spor
2 : 3
K. Istklalspor
19 Apr
Bursaspor
5 : 1
Soma Spor
12 Apr
Soma Spor
0 : 0
Aksaray Bld.
04 Apr
Menemenspor
2 : 1
Soma Spor
28 Mar
Soma Spor
2 : 0
Kirklarelispor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)